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Tour de France analysis: Week 2 winners & losers

As the remaining 170 riders in the Tour de France enjoy the second and final rest day today ahead of the final six stages, here are a few personal thoughts on who the big winners and losers have been during the middle stanza of the race.

(You can find my thoughts on week one’s winners and losers here.)

Week 2 winners

Against all expectations, Voeckler goes into the final week still in yellow

1. Thomas Voeckler

Having gained the yellow jersey on the final stage before the first rest day, no one would have thought any less of Europcar’s team leader if he had relinquished the overall lead the moment the race reached the Pyrenees. But, just as he did in 2004 when a courageous performance on the climb to Plateau de Beille enabled him to retain the maillot jaune for ten days, a similarly brave ride up the same mountain guaranteed him a seventh day in yellow on Tuesday which, in all probability, will continue at least until Thursday’s finish atop the Galibier.

By a quirk of coincidence, Voeckler went into the first rest day with a lead of 1:49 over Luis-León Sánchez, and will resume with an identical lead over Fränk Schleck. Hanging on to the jersey is unrealistic. However, a hugely creditable top ten finish is certainly within the reach of one of the most-loved riders in the peloton.

Hushovd achieved a rare feat for a sprinter in winning a high mountain stage

2. Thor Hushovd

The reigning world champion was already one of week one’s big winners, but having already spent a week in yellow he added his primary objective of a stage victory in the most unlikely of places, on a Pyrenean mountain stage to Lourdes. A sprinter simply should not be able to win the way he did, powering up the Col d’Aubisque and hunting down long-time leader Jérémy Roy in the final couple of kilometres to claim his ninth career Tour win.

With a move away from Garmin-Cervélo rumoured at the end of the season, it will do his value in cycling’s transfer market no harm whatsoever. Not many riders can boast the rainbow and yellow jerseys and a Tour de France stage win within the space of 12 months, and several teams will no doubt jump at the opportunity to benefit from the Norwegian’s speed, strength and experience.

Sanchez won ten years after Laiseka at Luz-Ardiden

3. Samuel Sánchez

Amazingly the reigning Olympic champion, despite being one of the peloton’s finest attacking climbers in a Euskaltel-Euskadi team full of mountain specialists, had never won a Tour stage before this year. However, he rectified that gap on his palmarès with a fine win at Luz-Ardiden, fittingly ten years after Roberto Laiseka became the orange-clad team’s first Tour winner on the same mountain.

Sánchez also broke free of the pack to claim second on Saturday’s stage to Plateau de Beille. In doing so, he became the only GC contender to make significant time gains this week, rising from 20th, 5:01 behind Voeckler, to sixth at 3:44. It gives him every chance of repeating his top four finish from last year, and also moved him into second in the polka dot jersey competition.

Thomas continues to impress

4. Geraint Thomas

Thomas has slipped to tenth in the white jersey rankings and 42nd overall, 35:27 behind Voeckler’s overall lead. But mere numbers do not indicate the extent to which the Welshman has grown during this race. He has been an impressive fixture on lead-out duties at the sharp end of sprint finishes, only to be somewhat let down by Sky’s duo of Edvald Boasson Hagen and Ben Swift. And he was in good form in the lead break over the Col du Tourmalet despite a couple of awkward crashes before succumbing to the peloton in the closing kilometres of Luz-Ardiden.

Having expanded his burgeoning reputation at this Tour, Thomas is now approaching a crossroads in his road career. Does he want to develop into a super-domestique in the mould of, say, Jens Voigt, or perhaps a top lead-out man, possibly for Mark Cavendish if the rumours of his signing for Sky turn out to be true? Or will he prefer to move elsewhere to further his own ambitions?

5. The maillot jaune

In so far that an inanimate object can be considered a ‘winner’, the yellow jersey itself has been greatly honoured in this race. In previous years where the race has opened up with a short prologue and then a series of flat stages with time bonuses, the jersey has been passed around from sprinter to sprinter seemingly willy-nilly during the opening week. This year, however, it has been worn by only three riders in 15 days: Philippe Gilbert, the king of the one-day classics, world champion Thor Hushovd and Thomas Voeckler, the two-time French champion and a man whose career is inextricably intertwined with his ten-day spell in the race lead in 2004.

That’s quite a roll-call, and I can only hope that the next wearer of the maillot jaune turns out to be a champion worthy of both the name and the fabled item of clothing he will pull on to signify it.

6. Omega Pharma-Lotto

Despite the loss of their top GC contender Jurgen Van Den Broeck in the first week and being reduced to six riders, Omega Pharma-Lotto are arguably the most successful team in the race so far. In Philippe Gilbert, André Greipel and Jelle Vanendert they have had three separate stage winners – in each case, their first Tour wins. Gilbert has been a swashbuckling presence throughout the race, constantly attacking and wearing each of the three major jerseys – yellow, green and polka dots – in the opening week of the race. Vanendert is the current occupant of the climbers’ jersey, has moved up to 20th overall and is certainly capable of improving on that position by the finish. And Gilbert and Greipel are third and fifth in the green jersey standings, with the former still capable of challenging Mark Cavendish for the lead in that classification in the forthcoming mountain stages.To top it all off, Omega Pharma also tops the prize money table, having scooped €67,460 to date. (Thanks to inrng.com for publishing that data.) Not bad at all.

Prudhomme's 2011 Tour has struck a good balance (image courtesy of Wikipedia)

7. Christian Prudhomme

It has been a good couple of weeks for the Tour’s race director, who has dealt decisively with the fall-out from two nasty crashes involving media vehicles and Alexandr Kolobnev‘s positive drugs test without allowing either to overwhelm the racing itself.

This year’s race route seems to have received universal praise for its varied nature. Uphill finishes in the first week shook up the traditional sprinters’ order, and a downhill finish in the Pyrenees this week resulted in a dramatic break-and-catch as Thor Hushovd overhauled Jérémy Roy 2km from the finish in Lourdes. The parcours is packed with challenging stages, but without the succession of sadistic mountain stages which drew criticism during the recent Giro d’Italia for being too hard.

He has also overseen significant revisions to both the sprinters’ and climbers’ competitions. For me, the green jersey changes have been a huge success, tilting the balance towards the fastest men (Mark Cavendish) and away from the merely consistent (José Joaquín Rojas), while allowing a puncheur such as Philippe Gilbert to stay in contact via a combination of uphill finishes and the rejigged intermediate sprints. I am less convinced by the new polka dot jersey competition (see below), but at least it will be won by a genuine top climber and not someone who tactically accumulates points on the lesser ascents.

Week 2 losers

1. Underperforming teams

Hoogerland has earned a lot of media attention for Vacansoleil, although he has certainly paid for it

Take your pick, really. There are 22 teams competing at the Tour, each with slightly different objectives, but several are severely underperforming and there are a couple who you could be forgiven for thinking had never shown up. Two weeks in, only eight teams have claimed stage victories so far, with HTC-Highroad (four for Mark Cavendish), Omega Pharma-Lotto (three, as mentioned above) and Garmin-Cervélo (three, including the team time trial) dominating proceedings.

Others have set their bar lower, but easily met their objectives. FDJ have successfully put at least one man in virtually every break so far and picked up a bucketful of sprint and mountain prizes – only Omega Pharma and Garmin have accumulated more prize money than the French wild-card selection so far. Vacansoleil-DCM have also been fairly prominent in their debut Tour, giving their sponsors valuable exposure, placing Johnny Hoogerland in the polka dot jersey and seeing him turned into a cult hero after that accident.

Some teams, however, are probably wondering why they bothered. RadioShack started the race with four genuine GC riders, but only Levi Leipheimer still remains and he is a lowly 25th, already nearly 17 minutes down. Astana‘s only claims to fame are the TV coverage they received after Alexandre Vinokourov’s career-ending crash and the fact they rank 22nd and last in terms of accumulated prize money. Katusha have managed the odd minor placing here and there, but are also the only team to have lost a rider due to a doping offence. And even Rabobank, despite claiming a stage win with Luis-León Sánchez, will be disappointed that a team containing climbing talents such as Sánchez, Robert Gesink and Laurens ten Dam cannot boast a single rider inside the top 30.

Roy's gallant effort will soon be forgotten (image courtesy of Wikipedia)

2. Jérémy Roy

Roy has been a regular presence in breakaways but has precious little to show for it other than a day in the polka dot jersey and a glorious near-miss on the downhill stage to Lourdes. His futile solo break provided one of the defining memories of the past two weeks, but in the manner of all sporting near-misses it will not be long until that stage is remembered only for the fact that Thor Hushovd won it, rather than Roy’s gallant effort.

Such is the lot – and the lottery – of those who try so bravely and fall just short. A Tour de France stage win could have been a defining and lucrative achievement in a career which has been long on noble effort but short on actual wins. Instead he will be consigned to the footnotes of Tour history, soon to be forgotten. That’s cycling for you.

Vanendert leads the race for the polka dot jersey

3. The King of the Mountains competition

The polka dot jersey has always been the least highly regarded of the three major prizes, but changes to the scoring system this year put the focus squarely on performances in the four hors catégorie summit finishes which should at least ensure the competition will be won by one of the strongest climbers. For now, I remain dubious about the impact of the changes. My one big reservation is that the jersey will be won ‘by accident’ by a GC contender and end up being regarded as a consolation prize, rather than being something which a rider actively goes out to win. For me, the worst possible result would be if the King of the Mountains ends up also being the overall winner.

Currently Omega Pharma’s Jelle Vanendert leads the classification by two points over Samuel Sánchez, with both men having finished first and second on the two HC finishes to date. With Sánchez targeting the top five overall, the polka dot jersey will probably not be a priority for him, but it will be interesting to see if Vanendert now focuses more on the jersey than on securing a high top 20 finish. Many potential polka dot winners have in the past prioritised finishing 14th or 15th over going for the mountains competition, and if it is going to be considered as a serious and worthwhile enterprise, then the best thing that could happen would be for Vanendert (or anyone else for that matter) setting it as their number one objective for the final week. If nothing else, it would ensure more attacking riding in the Alps, with the King of the Mountains being a race-within-a-race in addition to the battle for yellow.

Feillu is one of three French stage runners-up so far this Tour

4. French stage winners

Even though the French have been able to cheer on a week (and counting) of Thomas Voeckler in the yellow jersey, this masks the fact that we have yet to see a home rider win a stage at this year’s Tour. Last year we had no fewer than six French winners – the host nation’s best haul since 1997 – which initiated celebrations of a home renaissance. There have been three near misses so far – Romain Feillu (stage three), Voeckler himself (stage nine) and Roy (stage 13) have all finished second – but unless a Frenchman wins from a successful break on one of the next two stages, the return this year is likely to be zero. Which would be a real shame, as the Tour needs French successes in the same way Formula 1 relies on Ferrari being competitive.

Of course, all that would be rendered irrelevant in the (highly unlikely) event of Voeckler triumphing in Paris, but it is curious that the French have gone from boom to bust within 12 months.

Despite being set up perfectly by his team, Andy Schleck gained just two seconds over most of his rivals in the Pyrenees

5. Leopard-Trek

It may seem odd to classify a first-year team which has its leaders Fränk and Andy Schleck currently sitting second and fourth overall – and includes fan favourites Jens Voigt and Fabian Cancellara – as a ‘loser’, but it is difficult to escape the feeling that Leopard-Trek have underperformed over the past week and lost a lot of friends in the process. With defending champion Alberto Contador on the ropes and suffering from knee problems, the team has twice driven hard in the Pyrenees to isolate the other favourites from their teammates and allow the brothers to hit them with one-two combination attacks. Only on both occasions the Schlecks have shown an unwillingness to risk the big attack which could truly crack the general classification open and eliminate Contador from contention completely. The net result has been a huge effort by their team leading to a series of half-hearted accelerations, none of which has lasted more than a dozen or so pedal-strokes.

For all that great work by the likes of Voigt, Andy has gained two – count them, two – seconds over most of his rivals. It may well end up being a successful strategy which wins one Schleck or the other the Tour. But for riders of such ability, it is a desperately dull and business-like way to win which lacks any flair whatsoever, and which is alienating neutral viewers in their droves. I find myself hoping that someone – even Contador, who I am not a fan of – gives them reason to regret their conservative approach in the final week.

Links: Tour de France official websiteSteephill.tv

Race analysis

Is the new green jersey points system working?

Week 1 winners & losers

Who will win the polka dot jersey?

Stage recaps

Stage 1: Gilbert climbs to victory as Contador faces uphill battle

Stage 2: Hushovd takes yellow as Evans misses out by one second

Stage 3: Farrar’s green jersey challenge is born on the 4th of July

Stage 4: Evans wins slug-fest but Hushovd clings on to yellow

Stage 5: Cannonball Cav conquers crash carnage

Stage 6: Boasson Hagen wins battle of the strong men

Stage 7: Cavendish wins again as the Sky falls in for Wiggins

Stage 8: Costa’s winning break as Contador continues to look vulnerable

Stage 9: Voeckler leads Tour of attrition as peloton licks its wounds

Stage 10: Greipel the Gorilla gets the monkey off his back

Stage 11: No raining on Cavendish’s parade

Stage 12: Sánchez storms to Bastille Day victory

Stage 13: Thor thunders to victory, leaving Roy tilting at windmills

Stage 14: Vanendert wins as main contenders are happy to man-mark

Stage 15: HTC-Highroad express train delivers 4×4 Cavendish to victory

Tour de France preview

The Tour in numbers

Teams and sponsors (part 1)

Teams and sponsors (part 2)

Official Tour teaser video

Ten riders to watch

Six key stages

french riders 6 last year

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About Tim
Father of three. Bit of a geek. That's all, folks.

21 Responses to Tour de France analysis: Week 2 winners & losers

  1. I am loving the Tour so far. Not only did my favourite rider defend the yellow in great fashion in week 1, he also won what turned out to be the stage of the tour so far, in my opinion. I agree the Alps weren’t the best, but at least no-one has run away with it yet. If anything, there are more contenders now than before Wiggo & co started crashing out. There also seems to be a surplus of likeable heroes. I am a happy bunny:)

    Leopard-Trek will judge their tour on the yellow jersey, so I think I’ll reserve judgement on them until Paris. The Alps were boring, for sure (Thor apart, obviously;)), but that will only lead to all the more excitement in the Pyrenees, one would think.

    • Tim says:

      The Alps will have to be exciting, for sure, as there are too many weak time-trialists who will desperately need to make up time on the Galibier and Alpe d’Huez. I’d just be annoyed if I were Jens or Fabian at the completely unaggressive nature of Andy & Franks’s attacking.

  2. Kitty Fondue says:

    I didn’t realise until this Tour just how badly the Schleck brothers are lacking in panache – or guts even! Jens and Fabian have both with bells on, you’d think they might be able to follow their example … I’m hoping they find some on the way to Galibier and Alpe d’Huez

    Good recap of the week, Tim.

    • Tim says:

      Thanks Kitty. I think Andy has always been relatively unassertive, but I’m a little surprised with Frank, who can attack very hard when he wants to. Maybe they’re riding to a very conservative plan, but it must be so galling for their teammates when Andy just powers away from everyone in the last few hundred metres on Plateau de Beille like that. Why not try a bit harder a bit earlier, especially knowing the following day was flat and then it was the rest day? Such a wasted opportunity, and now we will never know just how close to the limit Contador was.

  3. Tim, if you have a moment I have a couple of queries unrelated to this post…

    I’m trying to help a colleague translate a Dutch book about cycling into English and there are a couple of things I’m not sure about.

    (1) Is the (yellow) jersey ever referred to in English as the ‘tricot’, or should we translate it as ‘jersey’ or ‘yellow jersey’?

    (2) There’s a reference in the Dutch book to a ‘minitijdrit’ – literally a ‘mini time trial’ as a prologue to a longer race. Do we use that term in English or is there some other expression for it?

    Great if you have time to answer this, otherwise, we’ll work it out somehow,

    Cheers! Richard

    • Tim says:

      In English, I’ve only ever heard it referred to as the “yellow jersey”, or occasionally its French name (i.e. maillot jaune). I’ve never heard “mini time trial” used, only “time trial” or “prologue”.

  4. Oops – one more…

    In a one day classic, is there an English word for what the Dutch call a ‘beschermde renner’ – literally a ‘protected rider’? I presume they mean the team leader who gets support from his teammates to increase his winning chances.

    • Tim says:

      I’ve certainly heard “protected rider” used before, generally in reference to a team leader, or perhaps the team’s sprinter on a flat stage.

      • Thanks Tim, that’s great. My colleague doing the translation knows her Dutch and English well but nothing about cycling and its terminology. I’m finding I have a lot to learn too!

  5. Sheree says:

    Great summation and I would echo your comments about the Schlecks. They may live to regret those wasted opportunities in the coming couple of days.

    • Tim says:

      If nothing else, it’s lining up to be an exciting final triptych – Galibier, Alpe d’Huez, Grenoble TT. Cadel will have some advantage as a superior time trialist and with prior knowledge of the course from the Dauphine. I think Andy may really struggle on the difficult initial part of the descent. And I’m fully expecting Tommy to put in the ride of his life in those three stages – not enough to keep the yellow jersey, but hopefully enough to cling on to a podium. If everyone leaves the attacks until late on the two big climbs, he will have every chance of limiting his losses.

      Sad news about Alex’s retirement. Although I’ve been ambivalent towards him since his return, he was always a thrilling rider to watch and it was so sad to see him depart the way he did. Maybe you will see him riding in the sportives after all!

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